This is the question I get asked most often, always privately, usually at the end of a conversation about something else. What should my daughter study. What do I tell my son. And it’s the one where I have the least to offer, which is worth saying at the start rather than after eight hundred words of hedging.
Start by dismissing the confident answers, because they’re all sales pitches. Learn to code was excellent advice that became mediocre advice in about four years, and the people who gave it loudest were selling courses. Learn to work with AI is the current version, and it means nothing: it describes a tool everyone will use, the way learn to use a spreadsheet described 1995. Go into the trades has more going for it, since a boiler is a physical object in a specific awkward room, but it’s also being said by a lot of people who have never done it and would not do it, and if everyone follows it the wages will tell you what happened. Every one of those is a bet on a specific future, and yesterday’s stretch of this series argued that bets on specific futures have a terrible record.
What survives uncertainty is a different kind of answer, and it’s less satisfying because it isn’t a job title. The things that pay off across most futures are the ones that don’t depend on any particular skill retaining its value: being able to learn a new thing quickly, being able to work out what’s actually going on in a situation, being someone people trust, being physically present and useful, being able to write and speak so that other people understand and are moved. Those are the robust holdings, and they’re roughly what a good education has always been for, which is either reassuring or suspicious depending on your mood.
There’s a structural version of the same advice that I find more useful than the list. Don’t build a life whose value rests on one skill staying valuable. That’s the actual failure mode, and it doesn’t require a machine to trigger it: it’s what happened to every profession that was disrupted by anything. A person with one deep specialism, a mortgage sized to it, and no adjacent skills is fragile regardless of what the technology does. A person with a specialism, a second thing they’re decent at, some savings, and a network that would take a call is resilient in every scenario I’ve described in ninety posts. That isn’t AI advice. It’s ordinary advice that this situation makes more urgent.
Now the harder half, which is what to do with your own fear, because the question is never really about curriculum. Parents asking me this are not asking for career guidance. They’re asking whether their child’s life will be all right, and I can’t answer that, and neither can anybody else, and it’s worth noticing that no parent in history has ever been able to. People raised children through wars, plagues, and collapses that were far more legible than this. The uncertainty is real and it is not new, and treating it as unprecedented is a mistake that will cost you the years you actually have with them.
What I’d be careful about is transmission. Children are extremely good at absorbing the emotional weather of a house and extremely bad at contextualizing it, and a child who grows up believing the future has been canceled doesn’t become prepared, they become anxious and small. If you’re going to talk about this with them, and I think you should as they get older, the useful frame is that this is one of several big things happening in their lifetime, that nobody knows how it goes, that they’ll have more influence over it than you did, and that the correct response to an uncertain world is to become capable rather than to become frightened. That last sentence is also, incidentally, true.
The plainest thing I can offer is this. Whatever happens, they’ll need to be able to do things, get along with people, and adapt when the ground moves. If the fizzle happens, that’s a good life. If the drift happens, that’s the best available position inside it. And if the good ending arrives, it’s what you’d want them to have anyway, because in that world the only thing left is who you are and who you’re with.
Tonight’s exercise, and this one is gentle. Think about what you’d want your child to be like at forty, setting aside entirely what they do for money. Write three things. Almost nobody writes a job title, and almost everybody writes something about character, relationships, or resilience. Then notice that you already know what to teach them, that you knew before you read any of this, and that none of it depends on which future turns up.